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Red92
478721.9
167531.8
130622.2
Blue108
884734.1
93057.8
250630.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55128010015020092108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1675
#35
31.82.1
25.127.2
Auto9.9
Teleop15.9
End6.0
blue by 26.1
930
#1
57.80.2
57.156.9
Auto13.5
Teleop35.9
End8.4
Second
1306
#38
22.23.5
19.623.1
Auto3.4
Teleop13.5
End5.3
blue by 12.0
8847
#16
34.10.4
28.327.9
Auto8.6
Teleop18.8
End6.9
Third
4787
#29
21.92.1
16.218.2
Auto8.8
Teleop6.8
End6.2
blue by 8.8
2506
#20
30.60.2
25.825.6
Auto9.2
Teleop14.6
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed65%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
27%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsMissed