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Red125
235822.0
657440.9
642139.7
Blue110
616033.2
171441.3
341833.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94109406080120140160125110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6574
#10
40.92.3
34.536.8
Auto13.4
Teleop19.3
End8.2
blue by 0.4
1714
#31
41.30.6
41.542.1
Auto12.7
Teleop19.9
End8.7
Second
39.72.3
34.636.9
Auto12.9
Teleop19.2
End7.6
red by 6.5
6160
#11
33.20.6
29.129.7
Auto9.6
Teleop15.1
End8.6
Third
2358
#25
22.02.3
21.423.7
Auto5.4
Teleop11.5
End5.0
blue by 11.1
3418
#36
33.10.6
30.130.7
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned19%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned