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Qual 632023 Wisconsin Regional
Red118
870136.3
341833.1
167531.8
Blue128
70642.7
616033.2
319742.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94118406080140160180118128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8701
#34
36.32.8
33.3→36.0
Auto8.1
Teleop19.9
End8.3
blue by 6.4
706
#8
42.71.3
39.1→40.4
Auto11.3
Teleop23.5
End7.9
Second
3418
#36
33.11.8
30.7→32.5
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End8.2
blue by 9.4
3197
#17
42.51.3
39.1→40.4
Auto13.7
Teleop23.6
End5.2
Third
1675
#35
31.81.8
27.2→29.0
Auto9.9
Teleop15.9
End6.0
blue by 1.5
6160
#11
33.21.3
29.7→31.0
Auto9.6
Teleop15.1
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed22%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsEarned