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Red81
306729.4
664316.4
812238.3
Blue114
601731.7
638138.2
582225.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9495859010010511081114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8122
#12
38.31.2
41.940.8
Auto8.7
Teleop23.1
End6.5
Level
6381
#15
38.20.0
34.034.0
Auto9.8
Teleop19.5
End8.9
Second
3067
#39
29.41.2
30.929.7
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End4.6
blue by 2.3
31.70.0
29.329.3
Auto6.4
Teleop16.8
End8.5
Third
6643
#44
16.41.7
15.613.9
Auto6.8
Teleop6.2
End3.3
blue by 9.4
5822
#37
25.70.0
25.625.6
Auto9.0
Teleop11.6
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
22%Activation oddsMissed60%Activation oddsEarned