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Red135
173252.7
791529.5
70642.7
Blue87
219426.7
478721.9
616033.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13475406010012016018013587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.71.1
52.053.1
Auto13.2
Teleop31.1
End8.3
red by 19.5
6160
#11
33.20.3
31.031.3
Auto9.6
Teleop15.1
End8.6
Second
706
#8
42.71.1
40.441.5
Auto11.3
Teleop23.5
End7.9
red by 16.0
2194
#33
26.70.4
27.227.6
Auto7.1
Teleop11.5
End8.0
Third
7915
#21
29.51.6
25.927.5
Auto8.2
Teleop16.0
End5.3
red by 7.7
4787
#29
21.90.3
19.619.8
Auto8.8
Teleop6.8
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsEarned21%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsEarned