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Qual 712023 Wisconsin Regional
Red106
9337.7
306729.4
251228.6
Blue113
130622.2
638138.2
220248.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101112406080120140160106113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#18
37.70.3
38.8→39.1
Auto11.9
Teleop19.6
End6.2
blue by 11.1
2202
#4
48.80.3
47.2→47.5
Auto13.7
Teleop25.5
End9.7
Second
3067
#39
29.40.3
29.7→30.0
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End4.6
blue by 8.8
6381
#15
38.20.4
34.0→34.4
Auto9.8
Teleop19.5
End8.9
Third
2512
#19
28.60.3
27.6→27.9
Auto9.6
Teleop13.8
End5.3
red by 6.5
1306
#38
22.20.4
22.7→23.1
Auto3.4
Teleop13.5
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned