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Qual 722023 Wisconsin Regional
Red90
109118.2
853132.6
171441.3
Blue124
642139.7
319742.5
818823.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95108608010012014016090124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1714
#31
41.30.4
41.9→41.5
Auto12.7
Teleop19.9
End8.7
blue by 1.2
3197
#17
42.51.6
40.4→42.0
Auto13.7
Teleop23.6
End5.2
Second
8531
#23
32.60.5
30.1→29.6
Auto6.1
Teleop16.4
End10.2
blue by 7.1
6421
#5
39.71.6
37.5→39.2
Auto12.9
Teleop19.2
End7.6
Third
1091
#43
18.20.5
18.5→18.0
Auto5.8
Teleop8.4
End4.0
blue by 4.8
8188
#30
23.01.6
21.7→23.3
Auto4.9
Teleop10.8
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned