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Red127
809646.0
93057.8
802928.6
Blue133
638138.2
657440.9
870136.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14412080100160180200127133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#1
57.80.1
57.757.6
Auto13.5
Teleop35.9
End8.4
red by 16.9
6574
#10
40.90.3
41.141.3
Auto13.4
Teleop19.3
End8.2
Second
46.00.1
45.845.7
Auto11.8
Teleop27.9
End6.3
red by 7.7
6381
#15
38.20.3
38.438.7
Auto9.8
Teleop19.5
End8.9
Third
8029
#24
28.60.1
28.528.4
Auto8.0
Teleop12.1
End8.5
blue by 7.7
8701
#34
36.30.3
36.536.7
Auto8.1
Teleop19.9
End8.3