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Red125
179230.4
283033.6
220248.8
Blue95
642139.7
319742.5
341833.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1181278010014016018012595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.80.1
48.448.5
Auto13.7
Teleop25.5
End9.7
red by 6.4
3197
#17
42.50.5
43.442.9
Auto13.7
Teleop23.6
End5.2
Second
2830
#22
33.60.1
33.233.3
Auto8.5
Teleop17.6
End7.5
blue by 6.1
39.70.5
40.640.1
Auto12.9
Teleop19.2
End7.6
Third
1792
#26
30.40.1
30.030.0
Auto10.2
Teleop13.4
End6.8
blue by 2.7
3418
#36
33.10.5
34.033.5
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End8.2