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Red85
812238.3
306729.4
70642.7
Blue117
880232.2
9337.7
601731.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221065015020085117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
706
#8
42.70.6
43.342.7
Auto11.3
Teleop23.5
End7.9
red by 5.0
93
#18
37.70.4
37.738.0
Auto11.9
Teleop19.6
End6.2
Second
8122
#12
38.30.6
38.938.3
Auto8.7
Teleop23.1
End6.5
red by 6.1
8802
#13
32.20.4
31.932.2
Auto7.1
Teleop16.8
End8.3
Third
3067
#39
29.40.6
30.029.4
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End4.6
blue by 2.3
31.70.4
31.632.0
Auto6.4
Teleop16.8
End8.5