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Red107
870136.3
657440.9
638138.2
Blue126
283033.6
220248.8
179230.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12511880100140160180107126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6574
#10
40.90.3
41.341.0
Auto13.4
Teleop19.3
End8.2
blue by 7.9
48.80.2
48.548.7
Auto13.7
Teleop25.5
End9.7
Second
6381
#15
38.20.3
38.738.4
Auto9.8
Teleop19.5
End8.9
red by 4.6
2830
#22
33.60.2
33.333.5
Auto8.5
Teleop17.6
End7.5
Third
8701
#34
36.30.3
36.736.4
Auto8.1
Teleop19.9
End8.3
red by 5.9
1792
#26
30.40.2
30.030.2
Auto10.2
Teleop13.4
End6.8