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Red124
250630.6
478649.1
53745.2
Blue131
173252.7
171441.3
884734.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311330100200300400124131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.10.0
48.648.6
Auto14.4
Teleop25.6
End9.1
blue by 3.6
52.70.1
51.651.7
Auto13.2
Teleop31.1
End8.3
Second
537
#2
45.20.0
44.744.7
Auto10.1
Teleop23.7
End11.4
red by 3.9
1714
#31
41.30.1
40.240.3
Auto12.7
Teleop19.9
End8.7
Third
2506
#20
30.60.0
30.130.1
Auto9.2
Teleop14.6
End6.8
blue by 3.5
8847
#16
34.10.1
33.133.2
Auto8.6
Teleop18.8
End6.9