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Red118
870136.3
657440.9
638138.2
Blue91
616033.2
9337.7
601731.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12610840608010014016018020011891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6574
#10
40.90.0
41.041.1
Auto13.4
Teleop19.3
End8.2
red by 3.2
93
#18
37.70.3
38.037.7
Auto11.9
Teleop19.6
End6.2
Second
6381
#15
38.20.0
38.438.4
Auto9.8
Teleop19.5
End8.9
red by 5.0
6160
#11
33.20.3
33.533.2
Auto9.6
Teleop15.1
End8.6
Third
8701
#34
36.30.0
36.436.4
Auto8.1
Teleop19.9
End8.3
red by 4.6
31.70.3
32.031.7
Auto6.4
Teleop16.8
End8.5