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Red64
178135.9
93046.1
682339.3
Blue82
173230.1
812227.4
870125.3
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1801160501001502002503003506482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#13
46.16.5
64.958.4
Auto11.0
Teleop23.3
End10.8
red by 16.0
1732
#10
30.12.8
40.537.7
Auto11.8
Teleop11.8
End6.1
Second
39.36.5
50.243.7
Auto11.9
Teleop19.6
End7.2
red by 11.9
27.42.8
38.335.5
Auto8.7
Teleop13.5
End5.5
Third
1781
#11
35.96.5
51.845.3
Auto9.8
Teleop18.6
End7.0
red by 10.6
8701
#14
25.32.8
35.032.3
Auto10.9
Teleop9.3
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsMissed44%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsMissed