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Red85
171435.5
270422.4
638128.8
Blue51
250613.6
70624.9
219433.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11313302003004008551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.51.4
47.646.2
Auto13.5
Teleop15.2
End6.6
red by 2.0
33.54.7
45.440.7
Auto8.5
Teleop15.2
End9.8
Second
28.81.4
34.533.0
Auto7.7
Teleop16.1
End5.1
red by 3.9
706
#16
24.94.7
42.738.1
Auto9.4
Teleop10.7
End5.0
Third
22.41.4
24.423.0
Auto4.9
Teleop11.6
End6.2
red by 8.8
2506
#17
13.64.7
33.028.4
Auto6.3
Teleop4.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
46%Sustainability oddsMissed62%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsMissed88%Activation oddsMissed