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Red49
642145.5
282617.7
51257.5
Blue78
99919.6
283022.1
657434.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011060501502002504978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.53.2
49.846.6
Auto14.5
Teleop24.5
End6.6
red by 10.7
34.80.8
42.341.5
Auto9.5
Teleop16.4
End9.1
Second
17.73.2
24.521.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.7
End4.2
blue by 4.5
2830
#15
22.10.8
28.828.0
Auto10.6
Teleop7.5
End4.0
Third
5125
#18
7.53.2
23.220.0
Auto4.8
Teleop2.4
End0.5
blue by 2.2
9991
#12
9.61.4
19.317.9
Auto3.4
Teleop3.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsMissed56%Activation oddsMissed