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Red80
178135.9
219433.5
270422.4
Blue56
173230.1
93046.1
250613.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11513702003004008056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#11
35.91.9
45.343.4
Auto9.8
Teleop18.6
End7.0
blue by 10.2
930
#13
46.14.6
58.453.8
Auto11.0
Teleop23.3
End10.8
Second
33.51.9
40.738.8
Auto8.5
Teleop15.2
End9.8
red by 3.4
1732
#10
30.14.6
37.733.2
Auto11.8
Teleop11.8
End6.1
Third
22.41.9
23.021.0
Auto4.9
Teleop11.6
End6.2
red by 8.8
2506
#17
13.64.6
28.423.8
Auto6.3
Teleop4.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
53%Sustainability oddsMissed89%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsMissed66%Activation oddsEarned