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Red42
283022.1
51257.5
171435.5
Blue60
870125.3
70624.9
99919.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions991060501502004260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.53.8
46.242.4
Auto13.5
Teleop15.2
End6.6
red by 10.2
8701
#14
25.31.9
32.330.4
Auto10.9
Teleop9.3
End5.4
Second
2830
#15
22.13.8
28.024.1
Auto10.6
Teleop7.5
End4.0
blue by 2.8
706
#16
24.91.9
38.136.2
Auto9.4
Teleop10.7
End5.0
Third
5125
#18
7.53.8
20.016.1
Auto4.8
Teleop2.4
End0.5
blue by 2.2
9991
#12
9.63.1
17.914.8
Auto3.4
Teleop3.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed21%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsMissed66%Activation oddsMissed