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Qual 62023 TWIST
Red101
657434.8
282617.7
682339.3
Blue115
638128.8
642145.5
812227.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111123050150200250300101115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6823
#5
39.30.4
43.7→43.3
Auto11.9
Teleop19.6
End7.2
blue by 6.2
6421
#1
45.50.0
46.6→46.6
Auto14.5
Teleop24.5
End6.6
Second
6574
#3
34.80.4
41.5→41.1
Auto9.5
Teleop16.4
End9.1
red by 6.1
6381
#6
28.80.0
33.0→33.0
Auto7.7
Teleop16.1
End5.1
Third
2826
#8
17.70.4
21.2→20.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.7
End4.2
blue by 9.8
8122
#2
27.40.0
35.5→35.5
Auto8.7
Teleop13.5
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsMissed54%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsEarned