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Red100
219433.5
173230.1
171435.5
Blue95
870125.3
270422.4
283022.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1337205010015020025010095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.51.0
42.441.4
Auto13.5
Teleop15.2
End6.6
red by 10.2
8701
#14
25.30.6
30.431.0
Auto10.9
Teleop9.3
End5.4
Second
33.51.0
38.837.8
Auto8.5
Teleop15.2
End9.8
red by 11.1
22.40.6
21.021.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.6
End6.2
Third
1732
#10
30.11.0
33.232.2
Auto11.8
Teleop11.8
End6.1
red by 8.0
2830
#15
22.10.6
24.124.8
Auto10.6
Teleop7.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
50%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned35%Activation oddsEarned