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Red112
206419.9
179653.4
15532.7
Blue86
271218.1
715336.0
55821.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1197405010015020011286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.40.0
53.453.4
Auto11.1
Teleop31.4
End10.4
red by 17.4
36.00.0
36.036.0
Auto8.1
Teleop18.8
End9.0
Second
155
#13
32.70.0
32.732.7
Auto9.7
Teleop14.6
End8.6
red by 11.7
558
#3
21.00.0
21.021.0
Auto6.5
Teleop11.4
End3.3
Third
2064
#18
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End6.2
red by 1.9
2712
#22
18.10.0
18.118.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.7
End3.8