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Red141
23735.3
816735.7
22826.0
Blue76
109924.6
457218.7
199121.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1106305010015020014176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8167
#11
35.70.0
35.735.7
Auto12.0
Teleop16.8
End7.0
red by 11.2
1099
#14
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End5.3
Second
237
#19
35.30.0
35.335.3
Auto11.1
Teleop17.9
End6.1
red by 13.7
1991
#12
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto10.3
Teleop6.0
End5.2
Third
228
#6
26.00.0
26.026.0
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End8.9
red by 7.3
18.70.0
18.718.7
Auto6.0
Teleop8.1
End4.6