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Red113
997717.9
23062.2
808552.2
Blue148
19561.8
919317.7
206753.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13814250100200250113148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#1
62.20.0
62.262.2
Auto16.0
Teleop36.0
End8.1
red by 0.4
195
#2
61.80.0
61.861.8
Auto12.9
Teleop39.8
End7.2
Second
8085
#16
52.20.0
52.252.2
Auto11.8
Teleop31.8
End7.3
blue by 1.4
53.60.0
53.653.6
Auto12.6
Teleop29.9
End9.4
Third
9977
#21
17.90.0
17.917.9
Auto5.8
Teleop8.3
End4.3
red by 0.2
9193
#20
17.70.0
17.717.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.3
End5.9