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Red104
357241.2
207563.5
861217.7
Blue82
7438.6
721139.4
592722.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12611340608010014016010482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.51.4
64.463.0
Auto16.0
Teleop42.2
End2.8
red by 24.1
7211
#31
39.42.0
38.936.9
Auto12.5
Teleop18.8
End7.9
Second
3572
#14
41.21.4
42.741.2
Auto10.5
Teleop22.7
End7.8
red by 2.7
74
#16
38.62.0
41.339.3
Auto10.6
Teleop17.5
End10.0
Third
8612
#25
17.71.4
18.416.9
Auto7.7
Teleop3.2
End7.1
blue by 4.8
5927
#19
22.52.0
26.224.2
Auto8.3
Teleop8.3
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
43%Sustainability oddsEarned42%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsMissed84%Activation oddsEarned