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Red133
910628.4
400430.8
608149.3
Blue91
611421.9
335739.6
8547.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131118010012014013391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.31.9
42.644.6
Auto13.8
Teleop27.7
End7.9
red by 1.9
85
#12
47.51.3
48.246.9
Auto13.4
Teleop26.3
End6.9
Second
4004
#10
30.81.9
29.731.6
Auto8.1
Teleop17.4
End5.5
blue by 8.7
3357
#32
39.61.3
40.038.7
Auto11.8
Teleop18.2
End9.0
Third
28.41.9
26.728.7
Auto9.8
Teleop10.5
End8.3
red by 6.4
6114
#27
21.91.3
22.621.2
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned40%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned