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Red111
276759.1
14130.6
207563.5
Blue171
608149.3
2748.8
721139.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160134050100200250300111171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.51.0
64.063.1
Auto16.0
Teleop42.2
End2.8
red by 14.1
49.30.9
46.347.3
Auto13.8
Teleop27.7
End7.9
Second
59.11.0
59.658.7
Auto17.7
Teleop31.8
End9.5
red by 10.2
27
#3
48.80.9
45.846.8
Auto11.5
Teleop28.3
End8.9
Third
141
#26
30.61.0
31.130.2
Auto8.5
Teleop13.8
End8.6
blue by 8.8
7211
#31
39.40.9
36.337.3
Auto12.5
Teleop18.8
End7.9