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Red71
345827.1
7438.6
400430.8
Blue115
861217.7
353852.2
277133.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1089905015020025071115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#16
38.60.7
39.338.6
Auto10.6
Teleop17.5
End10.0
blue by 13.6
52.20.2
51.451.6
Auto11.5
Teleop38.3
End3.0
Second
4004
#10
30.80.7
31.630.8
Auto8.1
Teleop17.4
End5.5
blue by 2.7
2771
#21
33.60.2
33.433.6
Auto11.3
Teleop16.4
End6.6
Third
3458
#13
27.10.7
27.927.1
Auto10.1
Teleop12.4
End4.8
red by 9.4
8612
#25
17.70.2
17.017.2
Auto7.7
Teleop3.2
End7.1