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Red172
276759.1
85817.2
207563.5
Blue108
496729.1
592722.5
357241.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14791050200172108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.50.7
63.364.0
Auto16.0
Teleop42.2
End2.8
red by 22.2
3572
#14
41.20.3
41.141.4
Auto10.5
Teleop22.7
End7.8
Second
59.10.7
58.959.6
Auto17.7
Teleop31.8
End9.5
red by 29.9
29.10.3
29.029.3
Auto8.7
Teleop16.1
End4.7
Third
858
#29
17.20.7
16.517.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.4
End5.5
blue by 5.3
5927
#19
22.50.3
22.322.7
Auto8.3
Teleop8.3
End5.8