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Red183
721139.4
2748.8
608149.3
Blue146
335739.6
716039.9
354641.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135127100120140160180183146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.31.1
45.246.3
Auto13.8
Teleop27.7
End7.9
red by 8.2
41.20.6
40.941.5
Auto12.1
Teleop21.4
End7.7
Second
27
#3
48.81.1
44.745.8
Auto11.5
Teleop28.3
End8.9
red by 8.9
7160
#11
39.90.6
39.640.2
Auto10.9
Teleop21.1
End7.5
Third
7211
#31
39.41.1
35.336.3
Auto12.5
Teleop18.8
End7.9
blue by 0.2
3357
#32
39.60.6
39.339.9
Auto11.8
Teleop18.2
End9.0