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Red118
186038.9
115650.6
917820.5
Blue115
920036.7
919944.8
806614.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1199950150118115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.60.0
50.350.3
Auto13.7
Teleop29.0
End8.2
red by 5.9
44.80.3
44.644.9
Auto12.3
Teleop24.6
End7.8
Second
38.90.0
38.638.5
Auto10.4
Teleop19.0
End9.4
red by 2.2
36.70.3
36.536.8
Auto11.8
Teleop17.4
End7.6
Third
9178
#20
20.50.0
20.220.1
Auto7.1
Teleop6.1
End7.3
red by 6.0
8066
#16
14.60.3
14.414.7
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End6.0