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Red108
186038.9
115650.6
917820.5
Blue130
920036.7
919944.8
806614.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1199750150108130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.60.0
50.350.3
Auto13.7
Teleop29.0
End8.2
red by 5.9
44.80.5
44.144.6
Auto12.3
Teleop24.6
End7.8
Second
38.90.0
38.638.6
Auto10.4
Teleop19.0
End9.4
red by 2.2
36.70.5
36.136.5
Auto11.8
Teleop17.4
End7.6
Third
9178
#20
20.50.0
20.220.2
Auto7.1
Teleop6.1
End7.3
red by 6.0
8066
#16
14.60.5
13.914.4
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End6.0