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Red98
919944.8
926115.7
580026.9
Blue100
904724.7
916218.6
115650.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions809005015020098100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.81.5
36.538.0
Auto12.3
Teleop24.6
End7.8
blue by 5.9
50.61.1
49.050.1
Auto13.7
Teleop29.0
End8.2
Second
26.91.5
27.128.6
Auto10.8
Teleop9.1
End7.0
red by 2.2
9047
#14
24.71.1
22.523.6
Auto9.5
Teleop11.4
End3.8
Third
9261
#21
15.71.5
12.514.0
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End5.4
blue by 2.8
9162
#18
18.61.1
11.913.0
Auto5.5
Teleop8.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned