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Red63
916616.2
640424.4
745916.7
Blue17
806614.6
904821.7
904910.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60602040506317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6404
#15
24.40.4
23.223.6
Auto6.4
Teleop10.4
End7.6
red by 2.8
9048
#12
21.72.6
23.821.1
Auto8.4
Teleop5.9
End7.4
Second
7459
#13
16.70.4
18.118.5
Auto4.7
Teleop4.8
End7.2
red by 2.1
8066
#16
14.62.6
20.217.5
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End6.0
Third
9166
#23
16.20.4
15.415.8
Auto5.8
Teleop6.0
End4.5
red by 5.3
9049
#29
10.92.6
12.710.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
9%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsMissed