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Red41
904821.7
917522.7
916514.4
Blue65
916218.6
640424.4
806614.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655802040801001201404165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9175
#19
22.71.3
23.922.6
Auto6.1
Teleop13.2
End3.3
blue by 1.8
6404
#15
24.40.3
23.023.3
Auto6.4
Teleop10.4
End7.6
Second
9048
#12
21.71.3
20.719.4
Auto8.4
Teleop5.9
End7.4
red by 3.1
9162
#18
18.60.3
16.917.2
Auto5.5
Teleop8.0
End5.1
Third
9165
#30
14.41.3
15.814.5
Auto2.3
Teleop10.0
End2.0
blue by 0.2
8066
#16
14.60.3
15.615.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
16%Activation oddsMissed19%Activation oddsEarned