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Red116
916924.5
919944.8
904724.7
Blue66
921931.6
916616.2
916432.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96825015020011666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.81.9
41.943.8
Auto12.3
Teleop24.6
End7.8
red by 12.6
9164
#17
32.10.8
32.031.1
Auto11.6
Teleop14.0
End6.5
Second
9047
#14
24.71.9
23.024.9
Auto9.5
Teleop11.4
End3.8
blue by 6.9
31.60.8
31.530.6
Auto9.6
Teleop17.0
End5.2
Third
24.51.9
23.125.0
Auto8.1
Teleop8.4
End8.0
red by 8.3
9166
#23
16.20.8
15.314.4
Auto5.8
Teleop6.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsMissed