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Red101
115650.6
920036.7
827612.3
Blue72
905026.2
917820.5
904517.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1106005010015010172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.60.3
49.449.7
Auto13.7
Teleop29.0
End8.2
red by 24.5
9050
#11
26.20.0
25.125.1
Auto4.5
Teleop12.5
End9.2
Second
36.70.3
36.636.9
Auto11.8
Teleop17.4
End7.6
red by 16.2
9178
#20
20.50.0
19.619.6
Auto7.1
Teleop6.1
End7.3
Third
8276
#24
12.30.3
11.011.2
Auto4.0
Teleop2.6
End5.7
blue by 5.2
9045
#22
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto4.7
Teleop5.7
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsEarned