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Red112
920036.7
919944.8
806614.6
Blue82
916432.1
904821.7
916616.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102695015011282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.80.4
43.343.8
Auto12.3
Teleop24.6
End7.8
red by 12.6
9164
#17
32.10.3
31.832.1
Auto11.6
Teleop14.0
End6.5
Second
36.70.4
35.335.7
Auto11.8
Teleop17.4
End7.6
red by 15.0
9048
#12
21.70.3
21.421.7
Auto8.4
Teleop5.9
End7.4
Third
8066
#16
14.60.4
13.113.6
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End6.0
blue by 1.6
9166
#23
16.20.3
15.916.2
Auto5.8
Teleop6.0
End4.5