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Red123
186038.9
115650.6
917820.5
Blue86
916432.1
904821.7
916616.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1226305010015012386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.60.4
49.750.0
Auto13.7
Teleop29.0
End8.2
red by 18.5
9164
#17
32.10.2
31.031.2
Auto11.6
Teleop14.0
End6.5
Second
38.90.4
38.038.3
Auto10.4
Teleop19.0
End9.4
red by 17.2
9048
#12
21.70.2
20.620.8
Auto8.4
Teleop5.9
End7.4
Third
9178
#20
20.50.4
19.619.9
Auto7.1
Teleop6.1
End7.3
red by 4.3
9166
#23
16.20.2
15.115.3
Auto5.8
Teleop6.0
End4.5