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Red86
905026.2
921826.2
827612.3
Blue93
917522.7
916831.2
703321.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6478020401001201401608693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.5
25.225.7
Auto8.7
Teleop9.3
End8.3
blue by 4.9
31.20.5
29.930.4
Auto11.9
Teleop12.7
End6.7
Second
9050
#11
26.20.5
25.125.6
Auto4.5
Teleop12.5
End9.2
red by 3.5
9175
#19
22.70.5
21.421.9
Auto6.1
Teleop13.2
End3.3
Third
8276
#24
12.30.5
11.211.8
Auto4.0
Teleop2.6
End5.7
blue by 8.8
7033
#27
21.10.5
19.820.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.8
End8.0