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Red96
920036.7
919944.8
806614.6
Blue77
930528.4
916924.5
916218.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10471501502009677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.80.3
43.943.7
Auto12.3
Teleop24.6
End7.8
red by 16.4
9305
#10
28.40.1
28.228.4
Auto7.0
Teleop14.4
End7.0
Second
36.70.3
35.935.6
Auto11.8
Teleop17.4
End7.6
red by 12.3
24.50.1
24.324.5
Auto8.1
Teleop8.4
End8.0
Third
8066
#16
14.60.3
13.713.5
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End6.0
blue by 4.0
9162
#18
18.60.1
18.418.6
Auto5.5
Teleop8.0
End5.1