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Red62
32318.6
580015.1
39668.7
Blue19
95908.2
94762.1
297311.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53290204060801001201401606219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
323
#19
18.60.7
16.417.1
Auto5.4
Teleop10.8
End2.4
red by 7.6
2973
#39
11.01.4
12.911.6
Auto4.8
Teleop5.4
End0.8
Second
5800
#18
15.10.8
19.720.5
Auto6.6
Teleop8.1
End0.4
red by 6.9
9590
#38
8.21.4
9.37.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.3
End1.2
Third
3966
#37
8.70.7
8.89.5
Auto6.0
Teleop2.5
End0.2
red by 6.6
9476
#47
2.11.4
7.05.7
Auto2.5
Teleop-0.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed