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Red54
77179.9
640414.6
93126.4
Blue102
12022.9
711120.5
248148.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40100020608012014016054102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
#14
26.40.1
22.222.3
Auto10.5
Teleop13.1
End2.7
blue by 21.6
48.01.2
44.245.5
Auto16.9
Teleop27.7
End3.4
Second
6404
#25
14.60.1
10.610.8
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End1.9
blue by 8.3
120
#24
22.91.2
21.222.4
Auto7.4
Teleop14.8
End0.7
Third
7717
#44
9.90.2
10.710.8
Auto4.5
Teleop3.2
End2.2
blue by 10.6
7111
#22
20.51.2
18.219.4
Auto8.2
Teleop11.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsMissed92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed