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Red58
402028.3
313911.4
239316.6
Blue51
500510.1
500213.1
146620.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5743020801005851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.30.6
27.628.2
Auto10.9
Teleop15.2
End2.2
red by 8.0
1466
#10
20.30.7
20.821.5
Auto7.8
Teleop10.7
End1.8
Second
2393
#20
16.60.6
13.614.2
Auto7.9
Teleop7.4
End1.2
red by 3.5
5002
#36
13.10.7
9.19.8
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End2.0
Third
3139
#27
11.40.6
8.49.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.2
End1.1
red by 1.3
5005
#45
10.10.7
10.511.2
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed