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Red37
449931.6
877211.7
77250.4
Blue54
651728.9
50455.2
425618.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485310203040607080903754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.61.1
32.331.1
Auto10.1
Teleop16.6
End4.9
red by 2.7
28.90.5
24.725.2
Auto10.2
Teleop16.5
End2.2
Second
8772
#34
11.71.9
8.06.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.9
End0.6
blue by 6.3
4256
#15
18.00.5
17.317.8
Auto9.5
Teleop8.0
End0.5
Third
7725
#46
0.41.1
3.52.3
Auto-0.9
Teleop1.2
End0.1
blue by 4.8
5045
#40
5.20.5
4.95.4
Auto2.8
Teleop2.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed