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Red30
640414.6
500510.1
297311.0
Blue45
50455.2
430611.4
426521.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354102060803045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6404
#25
14.60.1
11.311.2
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End1.9
blue by 7.2
21.80.3
19.619.9
Auto9.9
Teleop11.1
End0.8
Second
2973
#39
11.00.2
10.510.2
Auto4.8
Teleop5.4
End0.8
blue by 0.5
4306
#29
11.40.4
11.211.6
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End1.6
Third
5005
#45
10.10.1
10.410.3
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End1.9
red by 4.8
5045
#40
5.20.3
5.45.7
Auto2.8
Teleop2.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed