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Red83
463541.1
395915.6
943510.9
Blue38
95908.2
711120.5
349.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions653302040801001208338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.11.5
37.539.0
Auto14.0
Teleop25.2
End2.0
red by 20.6
7111
#22
20.50.3
18.518.8
Auto8.2
Teleop11.4
End1.0
Second
3959
#21
15.61.5
9.010.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.7
End0.6
red by 6.4
34
#42
9.10.3
8.89.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End0.4
Third
9435
#17
10.91.5
8.910.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.8
End1.0
red by 2.7
9590
#38
8.20.5
6.67.0
Auto3.7
Teleop3.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed