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Red49
94762.1
32318.6
12022.9
Blue66
398422.6
651728.9
66525.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4162020801004966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#24
22.90.6
21.922.5
Auto7.4
Teleop14.8
End0.7
blue by 6.0
28.90.2
26.826.6
Auto10.2
Teleop16.5
End2.2
Second
323
#19
18.60.6
15.315.9
Auto5.4
Teleop10.8
End2.4
blue by 4.0
3984
#35
22.60.2
21.020.8
Auto9.4
Teleop11.0
End2.2
Third
9476
#47
2.11.0
2.43.5
Auto2.5
Teleop-0.2
End-0.1
blue by 3.2
6652
#23
5.30.2
6.05.8
Auto1.3
Teleop3.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed