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Red82
93126.4
248148.0
426521.8
Blue61
382410.8
978713.6
402028.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1074401508261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.00.5
45.545.0
Auto16.9
Teleop27.7
End3.4
red by 19.7
28.30.8
27.828.6
Auto10.9
Teleop15.2
End2.2
Second
931
#14
26.40.5
24.023.5
Auto10.5
Teleop13.1
End2.7
red by 12.8
9787
#33
13.61.3
10.812.1
Auto5.9
Teleop6.4
End1.3
Third
21.80.5
19.919.4
Auto9.9
Teleop11.1
End0.8
red by 11.0
3824
#32
10.80.8
8.79.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
39%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed