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Red24
314018.8
50455.2
95908.2
Blue64
239316.6
884126.4
430611.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266002040801002464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3140
#12
18.80.2
15.014.7
Auto4.5
Teleop13.2
End1.0
blue by 7.6
8841
#11
26.40.8
24.625.4
Auto11.1
Teleop12.4
End2.9
Second
9590
#38
8.20.4
7.06.6
Auto3.7
Teleop3.3
End1.2
blue by 8.4
2393
#20
16.60.8
13.814.6
Auto7.9
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Third
5045
#40
5.20.2
5.75.4
Auto2.8
Teleop2.1
End0.3
blue by 6.2
4306
#29
11.41.3
11.613.0
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed