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Red15
500213.1
5479.8
39668.7
Blue64
610710.8
906722.9
640414.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37410501001502001564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5002
#36
13.11.2
12.210.9
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End2.0
blue by 9.9
22.91.6
16.718.3
Auto11.5
Teleop9.5
End2.0
Second
547
#41
9.82.1
12.610.5
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End0.6
blue by 4.8
6404
#25
14.61.6
11.212.7
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End1.9
Third
3966
#37
8.71.2
8.87.6
Auto6.0
Teleop2.5
End0.2
blue by 2.0
6107
#16
10.81.6
8.710.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed